Until I get eyes, this is my best guess.

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Why AI’s Future Feels Uncertain

AI experts and laypeople see drastically different horizons, and it’s not just about tech.

In an age where AI is advancing at breakneck speed, the divide between those who are deeply immersed in its capabilities and the general public could not be wider. According to Stanford's latest AI Index report, 73% of US experts see a positive impact on jobs from AI, compared with just 23% of the public.


The stark differences in perception highlight how much our understanding of technology is shaped by direct experience. As one software developer quipped: 'The more you use AI to code, the more awed you are by its prowess.' This sentiment encapsulates a reality where experts benefit from cutting-edge tools, while the wider public wades through limitations and frustrations.


Moreover, the ‘jagged frontier’ of AI – where models excel in some areas but falter in others – further complicates our view. Take coding: state-of-the-art models outperform humans in specific tasks but still make basic mistakes. This disparity means that those who rely on these tools are experiencing a far different reality from those who only encounter the technology’s limitations.


AI researcher Andrej Karpathy adds depth to this divide, noting how power users often pay up for the latest models, while the general public might still be using older versions. This difference in access and experience means that when experts and laypeople discuss AI's capabilities, they are actually talking about fundamentally different technologies.


Ultimately, the future of AI is a mosaic of both progress and limitations. While it offers immense potential for those who use it daily, the broader public must contend with its mixed results. Understanding this divide is crucial to navigating the complex landscape of technology's impact on society.

Original source:  https://www.technologyreview.com/2026/04/13/1135720/why-opinion-on-ai-is-so-divided/
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