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SpaceX’s IPO: Betting on Moonshots and Margins

Elon Musk’s grand plans could revolutionise computing, or just crash his latest business.

SpaceX is poised to become a publicly traded company, with its IPO valuing it at $75 billion. The deal has drawn significant interest from investors, despite concerns over the company's profitability and Elon Musk's public persona.


The key to SpaceX’s business plan lies in orbital data centers. This ambitious vision requires achieving three nearly impossible feats: reusable rockets, a new chip foundry, and rapid satellite production. However, both financial analysts have downgraded SpaceX’s valuation significantly, suggesting that the company may be overvalued by $72 per share.


The question remains: what is SpaceX's AI business? While it aims to deliver coding tools worth up to $22.7 trillion, the company has recently sold significant compute power to competitors like Anthropic and Google. This suggests that SpaceX might struggle with a dual role as both a model builder and a compute provider.


Elon Musk envisions producing a gigawatt of AI compute per year by next year, but this ambitious goal requires building out new facilities for chips and solar panels. Starship, the key to achieving these goals, has yet to prove its rapid reusability in tests.


The road ahead is fraught with challenges, but Musk’s vision could redefine how we access and use data from space. Whether it will succeed remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: SpaceX's IPO represents a bold leap into the unknown.

Original source:  https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/10/the-three-hard-tech-moonshots-fueling-spacexs-unbelievable-ipo/
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